自衛隊も宇宙利用へ: Japanese Journalism on EW

Here is an insight into how Japanese journalists (with many honorable exceptions) over the issues.  You can get an idea of piece just from the title: “New Satellite Race.” What on earth (or in orbit) that is supposed to mean, is beyond me.

The point is that the article raises legitimate concerns in its conclusion:

「政府の担当者の間では、発射のタイミングを正確にとらえるためにも、DSPなど「宇宙の目」の役割は重要と考えられている。このため、日本でも自前のDSP導入に向けた研究が始まった。
しかし課題は山積している。DSPにはミサイルの熱源をもとに瞬時に種類や能力を割り出し、弾道を緻密に解析できるソフトウエア開発が欠かせない。しかし日本にはそうしたデータの蓄積がない。しかも早期警戒システムには衛星だけでなく、集めた情報を部隊間で共有する巨大なネットワークの構築も必要になる。
03年から打ち上げが始まった政府の情報収集衛星に投じられた経費は現在、7000億円近い。開発費を含めればDSPも数千億円かかると推定されており、国民の納得が得られるかどうかという新たな問題に直面する。」

Which boils down to legitimate doubts and questions about Japan’s EW program. But the point is without context/ contextual/ relevant contextual presentation by the journalist, the Japanese public is left thinking that the Asahi’s question raising motivated by its political stance; even a few more cursory levels of analysis of facts and background would have made this more helpful…but at least it isn’t at the pizza on the moon level of rubbish that we sometimes see in the foreign press.

So I figure, anything that gets Japanese space development issues into the media by a reasonable  journalist has to be something…

Catchup #2 Japan’s Defense Budget Request Down 1.7 Percent

Here is a basic story on Japan’s defense budget request for next year for Defense News.  Of course the most interesting items for me are how the space and BMD budgets are working out, along with new investments in C4ISR. But this is more for a general audience.

The web story is here.

TOKYO — Japan’s Ministry of Defense on Sept. 10 requested 4.57 trillion yen ($58 billion) in budget appropriations for the next financial year, starting April 1, 2013, a figure that is 1.7 percent lower than the current budget. This represents the biggest one-year decline in half a century and the lowest total in two decades.

But the request also signals an ongoing restructuring and updating of Japan’s defense posture to counter China, and greatly upgrades command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance; ballistic missile defense; and cyber defense capabilities.

Japan’s current five-year Mid-Term Defense Program of December 2010 has tasked the MoD with bolstering defense of the nation’s sea lanes and far-flung southeastern island chain, which extends from Okinawa to a few hundred kilometers from Taiwan. More recently, the MoD has begun to openly acknowledge China, which has an increasingly assertive Navy in the region, as a strategic concern.

In line with this, the ministry has been steadily reinforcing Japan’s marine, antisubmarine and surveillance capabilities. Consequently, the MoD for the next year has requested 72.3 billion yen for an advanced, 5,000-ton antisubmarine destroyer that features a new combined diesel-electric and gas propulsion system that will probably be developed in Japan.

The ministry has also asked for 10 billion yen to upgrade four E-767 airborne early warning and control aircraft, 19.2 billion yen for a 690-ton minesweeper featuring a fiber-reinforced plastic hull and 2.5 billion yen for four amphibious assault vehicles (AAVs).

The AAV request is viewed as the most important new item, said local military analyst Shinichi Kiyotani, who added the Ground Self-Defense Forces (GSDF) were looking to purchase four AAV-7 series vehicles after concluding that a vehicle developed in Japan could not meet cost and capability requirements.

“Japan has no marines or no Royal Marines for remote island protection,” Kiyotani said. “This was a significant purchase for the GSDF and a first for postwar Japan. It represents great progress in Japan’s efforts to deter threats against our islands.”

C4ISR and space systems also are more prominently featured, with the ministry requesting 100 million yen to convert its advanced FPS-5 phased array radar system so it can also conduct space situational awareness duties, in addition to funds for a research budget for a satellite-mounted ballistic missile early warning sensor, and 3 billion yen for an unmanned aerial vehicle-mounted ballistic missile early warning system.

And after several years of trying, the MoD has also requested 21.2 billion yen to set up a new cyber defense force with about 100 people, which will combine previous efforts to create a combined unit, along with 13.3 billion yen to reinforce cyber defense of the ministry’s core Defense Information Infrastructure.

Motohiro Tsuchiya, a professor at Keio University and member of the Information Security Policy Center, Japan’s top-level government cybersecurity advisory body, applauded the move to set up the unit as the MoD has previously been stymied by budgetary restraints in its attempts to set up the unit.

“The MoD has been trying for two years to set up the unit, but the attempts were refused by the Finance Ministry. It is said that the MoD will be finding about 100 staff to man the unit, but it is unclear if they will be 100 new staff, or seconded from other areas,” Tsuchiya said.

The Japanese budget year runs from April 1, with all of the nation’s government ministries putting in their requests to the powerful Ministry of Finance in late August or early September. The budget requests, already the result of haggling and negotiation, are then audited by the Finance Ministry, which generally makes small cuts, announcing the final figures at the end of December. The Japanese Diet then passes the ratified budget into law the following spring.

Japan Passes Overhaul of Space Management Structure

Here is the Space News version of the Defense News story I put out earlier: it’s a case of better late than never, and I will be trying to cover developments in various media as well as for my academic and policy paper requirements. “Please watch this space!”

I had a long talk with Saadia Pekkanen, my coauthor of In Defense of Japan and everything we predicted is coming on slowly and surely. How things will pan out immediately will quickly be seen in the upcoming budget request. However, a massive revision of the Basic Plan of 2009 is also a top priority of the new Uchusenryaku Shitsu (Space Strategy Office) and we will have concrete evidence of the next 5-year plan then. The timetable for the revised Basic Plan could be as early as within this year. This and a Space Activities Act are the top priorities, according to Takafumi Matsui, who one of the core group behind the changes.

Space News version of my earlier Defense News story

Japan Space Law: Now Mid-May, or When?

What is this man doing?

News from the Strategic Headquarters for Space Policy (SHSP, 内閣官房宇宙開発戦略本部事務局) just in is that the Law to establish Japan’s new space structure, in which the Prime Minister’s Cabinet Office will start to try to wrest control of Japan’s space programs from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT), will now be delayed until mid-May.

According to SHSP director Mikio Aoki, the bill, which was submitted to Japan’s lower house, the House of Representatives on Feb. 14 was originally to have been debated and passed by the end of March.  It was then rescheduled for April 20. However, the DPJ administration is bogged down in other issues, most notably Prime Minister’ Noda’s discussions with opposition leaders about the DPJ’s plans to raise the consumption tax from April 2014. on which Noda has said he has staked his political life.

Noda is widely suspected of planning to dissolve the Lower House for a snap election if the Diet rejects the taxation bill. If this happens, then Japan faces another long and frustrating wait to enact the Basic Space Law of 2008.

The space bill, Cabinet Office Restructuring and Reform Law (内閣府設置法等の一部を改正する法律(閣議決定)),  is designed to fundamentally restructure the control of Japan’s space program and remove the restriction on the nation’s main space agency, the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) from developing military space programs. It is designed to enable the Prime Minister’s Cabinet Office to set up a 30-member Space Strategy Office (宇宙戦略室) that is headed by the Japanese Prime Minister while scrapping the Space Activities Commission, which currently controls JAXA. The Strategy Office  will assume control of all of Japan’s space planning, program and budget control, including that of JAXA through a new Strategic Space Committee set up in the Office, also chaired by the Prime Minister, said Takafumi Matsui, Emeritus Professor of Tokyo University and chairman of the advisory committee that proposed the law. For more on this, please see: Bill to Establish the 内閣府宇宙戦略室 (Space Strategy Office) sent to the Diet.

The Bill should have been drawn up and enacted within two years of the original Basic Law but was stalled by the election of the DPJ in 2009 and the opposition of MEXT, with the SHSP only managing to find a workable compromise this February. For some details of this, please see How will the SHSP’s Next-Gen Space Plan Unfold? The architects of the Bill had tied it to the General Space Activities budget,  which should have been passed March 31; and if the delay stretches much beyond May, this could impact Japan’s space policy making for yet another year.

In Defense of: “In Defense of Japan: From the Market to the Military in Space Policy”

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Hi, to anyone reading this first entry for “In Defense of Japan: From the Market to the Military in Space Policy” (Stanford University Press, 2010)  a book inspired during my 17-year stint covering Japan’s space development program.
Where do I begin?  Well, here!
How about some previews from leading academics:
It is a very valuable work and makes an important contribution to our understanding of the unraveling of the Yoshida Doctrine and Japan’s evolving security strategy. Needless to say, I totally agree with the thrust of what you say…”
Kenneth B. Pyle, Professor of History and International Studies at the University of Washington, winner of the Order of the Rising Sun (1998) and author of Japan Rising: The Resurgence of Japanese Power and Purpose.
“Thanks for sharing this. This ms is in terrific shape and should be a powerful contributor to debates on Japanese militarization, Japanese politics, industrial policy and host of other areas.” 
T. J. Pempel,  director of the Institute of East Asian Studies from January 2002 until 2007, currently Il Han New Chair in Asian Studies and author of Beyond Bilateralism: U.S.-Japan Relations in the New Asia-Pacific (Oxford University Press)Image
“…your willingness to tackle an important subject, make a strong argument, and avoid narrow minded…concerns….is always a breath of fresh air. Moreover your argument seems entirely correct. This book will be an important contribution to the literature of Japanese industrial policy and national security.” 
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It was particularly gratifying to get this feedback from Dick Samuels, whose work, and common sense, was a major inspiration for this book, which will be out in the spring- finally- from Stanford University Press.