Japan Passes Overhaul of Space Management Structure

Here is the Space News version of the Defense News story I put out earlier: it’s a case of better late than never, and I will be trying to cover developments in various media as well as for my academic and policy paper requirements. “Please watch this space!”

I had a long talk with Saadia Pekkanen, my coauthor of In Defense of Japan and everything we predicted is coming on slowly and surely. How things will pan out immediately will quickly be seen in the upcoming budget request. However, a massive revision of the Basic Plan of 2009 is also a top priority of the new Uchusenryaku Shitsu (Space Strategy Office) and we will have concrete evidence of the next 5-year plan then. The timetable for the revised Basic Plan could be as early as within this year. This and a Space Activities Act are the top priorities, according to Takafumi Matsui, who one of the core group behind the changes.

Space News version of my earlier Defense News story

Bill to Establish the 内閣府宇宙戦略室 (Space Strategy Office) sent to the Diet.

For a treat, how about looking at what a real Japanese bill looks like. Story below!

Rather surprisingly early, the bill (properly called 内閣府設置法等の一部を改正する法律案) to enact the pertinent points of the 2008 Basic Law was sent to the Diet on February 14, with optimists considering that as it is tied to this year’s General Space Activities Budget request, it will be passed. My sources in the SHSP put the chances at 50/50 and Matsui Sensei is hopeful- tying the reforms to (a) the QZSS project and (b) the budget request, were critical parts of the Expert’s Committee in the SHSP last year to finally get the business sorted. Very practical, for a very tricky project that has gone through three years of twists and turns.

Understandably the Japanese media focused on a summary of the main points; for example here the Sankei, while the Mainichi also thought it prudent to add a 解説 (explanation) for the public. The Yomiuri and Nikkei also managed to capture this critical event for the future of Asia’s space development and competition. I have a much more detailed academic article coming out later in the year, but here is a summary of something I filed on the bill.

Space Bill Submitted to Japanese Diet

A bill to fundamentally restructure the control of Japan’s space program and remove the restriction on the nation’s main space agency, the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) from developing military space programs, was submitted to Japan’s lower house, the House of Representatives, Feb. 14.

The Cabinet Office Restructuring and Reform Law will enable the Prime Minister’s Cabinet Office to set up a Space Strategy Office that is headed by the Japanese Prime Minister while scrapping the Space Activities Commission, which currently controls JAXA. The Strategy Office  will assume control of all of Japan’s space planning, program and budget control, including that of JAXA through a new Strategic Space Committee set up in the Office, also chaired by the Prime Minister, said Takafumi Matsui, Emeritus Professor of Tokyo University and chairman of the advisory committee that proposed the law.

A key part of the bill changes JAXA’s Law of 2003, when the agency was established, which, in Article 4 (Objectives of the Agency), contains the stipulation that JAXA’s space programs be “for peaceful purposes only.” The new bill brings JAXA’s law into line with the Outer Space Treaty of 1967, which allows for the nonagressive military use of space, and Japan’s Space Basic Law Article 14: “The state shall take the necessary measures to promote space development and use to endure international peace and security as well as to contribute to the national security of Japan.”

Matsui said Feb. 17 that the bill fulfills a critical stipulation of the Space Basic Law of 2008, which mandated that policy, programmatic and budgeting control of Japan’s space programs, which are funded by a number of ministries, be assumed by the Cabinet Office. Currently JAXA accounts for about 60% of Japan’s space budget, and is controlled by SAC; both are part of the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT). JAXA’s budget and programs will now also be controlled by the Cabinet Office’s Space Strategy Office, he said.

Matsui said that the bill should come into law by the end of this fiscal year, March 31, so the Cabinet Office can immediately start setting up the new office. Typically bills approved by the lower house in Japan are rubber stamped by the upper house, the House of Councilors, he said.

Here is the Yomiuri’s coverage:

Space Quarterly 2: A Battle Looms for Japan’s Space Program

Ironically, just as my second piece in Space Quarterly came out on December 1, the SHSP’s Expert Committee (宇宙開発戦略専門調査会) chaired by MHI Chairman Kazuo Tsukuda had just (November 30) come out with a pre-final version of the compromises reached between the Cabinet and MEXT over the makeup and powers of the 宇宙戦略室 (Space Strategy Office) to be set up in the Cabinet Office!

Personal interview with Seiji Maehara, and “spare IGS”

Monday, October 18, 2010
Space News have just published a recent interview I had with Seiji Maehara, former State Minister for Space Development and now Foreign Minister.
It was pretty interesting in terms of confirming that Maehara is not a dove at all. But for me, what was interesting was what Maehara Daijin left out, namely:
a) There is no fixed deadline on when the Space Activities Act is going to be passed. The deadline came and went for this a few months ago. Commitments to standardize and have a legal basis for all sorts of issues have been locked since spring spring 2009. This is a critical point and I’ll be writing about this later.
b) Early Warning: EW is supposed to be a priority for Japan, and several sources have stated this repeatedly. However it also appears that the MOD is becoming increasingly alarmed by the size of China’s blue water fleet. The major priority seems to be more money for the navy. So it appears a more traditional wing and big bucks for contractors in the form of MSDF spending has won out (albeit temporarily) in the MOD.c) What is going to happen to the doubling of the space budget over the next ten years that was de facto promised by Takeo Kawamura, and is the financial backbone of Japan’s ten-year timetable for satellite launches? Again, more on this later.

More Spy Bird Cash for Melco

Separately, there was confirmation that some cash has been found to launch a “spare” Radar IGS to try to offset any more failures. Those of you who watch J-space will know that 2 of Melco’s radar birds, IGS 1A and 4B have both failed before their nominal 5-year on-orbit lifespan.
IGS 1A failed in March 2007, a nearly respectable 4 years into its 5-year mission, the cause of which was an “electrical failure.” IGS 4B, with an improved SAR with about 1-meter all-weather resolution, conked out this spring, half-way through it’s mission, also due to an undisclosed electrical failure. Officially the CSIC is investigating the cause to see if the electrical failures are related.
It should be noted that I have reliable sources stating that there were other problems with IGS 1A. It’s quite well known that it wasn’t working properly.
Of course, it’s pure speculation that these failures could also be related to the electrical failures that have visited other Melco satellites, namely Adeos-2 (Midori-2) in October 2003 possibly caused by short in the cable bundles supplying electricity from the solar panel to the bus.
The CSIC has officially denied that the “spare IGS” will be launched in FY2014 and that it will cost 30 billion yen about “half” the cost of a “standard” IGS.
Anyway, here is the rest in the Space News format:
Japan’s reconnaissance satellite program is designed to function as a fleet of two radar and two optical satellites enabling reasonably close coverage of East Asia in general and North Korea in particular. The first generation radar satellites are able to resolve images through cloud with a resolution of 1-3 meters, while the first generation optical satellites are designed to resolve objects of 1 meter.The latest failure means that the fleet will be without radar coverage until the launch of the next radar reconnaissance satellite in fiscal 2011.